BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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San Jose St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 111 Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (1-7) Overall: (1-11) Overall Strength =  139.93

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/30/2018 Home    L   142.55  38  44   1B   7 ( 10-  3) UC-Davis                1.22     -7.22                      
  2 09/08/2018 Away    L   143.77   0  31   1A  14 ( 10-  2) Washington St           2.45 *  -33.45                      
  3 09/15/2018 Away    L   153.34  22  35   1A  40 (  8-  4) Oregon                 12.01    -25.01                      
  4 09/29/2018 Home    L * 140.64  41  44   1A  99 (  8-  5) Hawaii                 -0.68     -2.32                      
  5 10/06/2018 Home    L * 126.53  30  42   1A 109 (  3-  9) Colorado St           -14.79      2.79                      
  6 10/13/2018 Home    L   108.67   3  52   1A  39 ( 10-  2) Army                  -32.66    -16.34                      
  7 10/20/2018 Away    L * 151.43  13  16   1A  73 (  7-  5) San Diego St           10.10    -13.10                      
  8 10/27/2018 Home    W * 152.11  50  37   1A 108 (  4-  8) UNLV                   10.78      2.22                      
  9 11/03/2018 Away    L * 140.57   9  24   1A  78 (  6-  6) Wyoming                -0.75    -14.25                      
 10 11/10/2018 Away    L * 135.77  24  62   1A  20 ( 11-  2) Utah St                -5.56 *  -32.44                      
 11 11/17/2018 Home    L * 143.57  12  21   1A  72 (  7-  5) Nevada                  2.24    -11.24                      
 12 11/24/2018 Away    L * 156.98  13  31   1A  16 ( 12-  2) Fresno St              15.65 *  -33.65                      
      Averages             141.33  21.2 36.6

Best game:  156.98 = 18 point loss to Fresno St
Worst game: 108.67 = 49 point loss to Army
Team stdev:  13.27